دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 151917
کد مقاله سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی تعداد کلمات
151917 2018 35 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید 10509 کلمه
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عنوان انگلیسی
Projection for new city future scenarios – A case study for Kuwait
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Heliyon, Volume 4, Issue 3, March 2018, e00590

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چکیده انگلیسی

This paper aims to address these research opportunities of investigating the effectiveness of new cities in addressing traffic congestion and housing shortage, as well as the potential to integrate public opinions in urban development in the form of a model. Towards that end, the study proposes an Agent Based Model (ABM) that will allow simulating the population distribution and urban growth impacts of new cities in Kuwait by 2050. The methodology involves collecting primary data via interviewing the key government stakeholders of urban development and surveying the residents in order to collect the model inputs. In Kuwait's society, citizens and non-citizens form two distinct resident groups with often very diverse needs and lifestyles; hence the survey responses will differentiate between them. The data from the interviews and surveys from both resident groups will be incorporated as agent behaviours in the ABM. The simulations examine a multitude of scenarios for the new cities, involving construction delays and infrastructure project delays. The results indicate that the impacts of constructing new cities will be favourable across all different scenarios in terms of alleviating the traffic congestion and housing shortage compared to a business as usual approach of existing urban centre expansion. Furthermore, the survey responses confirm that the resident perspectives closely align with the government's priorities in the master plan for the new cities, further improving the chances for the successful project implementation. The methodology and findings may be applied in cities in the Gulf area or elsewhere with similar urban issues.

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