قواعد تجربی از افتتاح حراج فراخوان در بازار بورس چینی
|کد مقاله||سال انتشار||مقاله انگلیسی||ترجمه فارسی||تعداد کلمات|
|17508||2010||9 صفحه PDF||سفارش دهید||محاسبه نشده|
Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)
Journal : Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Volume 389, Issue 2, 15 January 2010, Pages 278–286
We study the statistical regularities of an opening call auction using the ultra-high-frequency data of 22 liquid stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003. The distribution of the relative price, defined as the relative difference between the order price in the opening call auction and the closing price on the last trading day, is asymmetric and that the distribution displays a sharp peak at the zero relative price and a relatively wide peak at the negative relative price. The detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) method is adopted to investigate the long-term memory of relative order prices. We further study the statistical regularities of order sizes in the opening call auction, and observe a phenomenon of number preference, known as order size clustering. The probability density function (PDF) of order sizes could be well fitted by a qq-Gamma function, and the long-term memory also exists in order sizes. In addition, both the average volume and the average number of orders decrease exponentially with the price level away from the best bid or ask price level in the limit-order book (LOB) established immediately after the opening call auction, and a price clustering phenomenon is observed.
Call auctions and continuous auctions are two main trading mechanisms used in order-driven financial markets. In the call auction market, the orders arriving during the period of the opening call auction are batched and executed with a single price, i.e., the opening price established immediately after the opening call auction, while the continuous auction is a process of continuous matching of arriving orders on a one-by-one basis. Much effort has been devoted to studying the market performance under these two different types of trading mechanism. Compared with the continuous auction, the call auction has two major advantages. Schnitzlein compared the call and continuous auctions under asymmetric information in a laboratory asset market whose construction was based on the Kyle model , and found that the informed noise traders spend lower costs in the call auction . Qualitatively similar results have been obtained by utilizing different modeling approaches  and . Theissen further confirmed that in an experimental asset market incorporating heterogeneous information, the call auction provides lower execution costs . On the other hand, the opening price in the call auction market is closer to the true value of the asset than the opening price in the continuous market . These two advantages are also regarded as the goal of market construction , and it has been proposed that an electronic call auction could be incorporated into the continuous market to make it more efficient . Nowadays, the call auction has been widely used as the opening or closing procedure in most electronic continuous markets. For example, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), London Stock Exchange (LSE), Euronext Paris, Frankfurt Stock Exchange (FWB), Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX). In this paper we mainly focus on the opening call auction in the Chinese stock market. According to the situation of market transparency defined as “the ability of market participants to observe the information in trading process”, the opening call auction is divided into two categories, i.e., close call (or blind) auction and open call auction. Before July 1, 2006, the opening call auction of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange was a close call auction wherein the information about submitted orders was not observable for market participants. It is well accepted that in a sufficiently large market the transparency can improve market efficiency  and . After July 1, 2006, the opening call auction of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange turned to being an open call auction in which the information is open to market participants in the same way as many foreign stock exchanges, e.g. LSE, Euronext Paris, FWB, and HKEX. Not much work has been done towards studying the opening call auction in the Chinese stock markets. Pan et al. proposed a theoretical model of the close call auction, and further analyzed the data of Shanghai Stock Exchange to confirm their theoretical results that the market should increase the transparency in the opening call auction . Li et al. empirically studied the influence of the open call auction on the market volatility in the opening of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange . Up to now, the close call auction in the opening of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange has not been extensively analyzed. The study of the close call auction has potential significance for understanding the influence of transparency on market volatility. In this paper, we study the statistical regularities of the opening call auction for 22 liquid stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003 when the close call auction was adopted. The rest of the paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we describe briefly the database we analyzed. Section 3 presents the statistical regularities of the order prices in the opening call auction. In Section 4, we further analyze the order size in the opening call auction. Then we study in Section 5 the limit-order book established by the unexecuted orders left at the end of the opening process. Section 6 summarizes the results.
نتیجه گیری انگلیسی
Based on the order flow data of 22 liquid stocks traded on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in 2003, we analyze the statistical regularities of the relative order price, the order size in the opening call auction and the LOB shape immediately after it. The PDF of the relative order price xx is asymmetric, and displays a sharp peak at x=0x=0 and a relatively wide peak at negative xx. The congregation of orders placed at x=0,−0.1x=0,−0.1 implies the importance of closing price on the last trading day in order price determination in the close call auction. We use the DFA method to investigate the memory effect of relative order prices, and find the fluctuate function F(l)F(l) shows two scaling regions. F(l)F(l) in the small scale region describes the relatively weak memory effect of relative order prices within one day, while F(l)F(l) in the large scale region describes the quite persistent memory effect within a period of several days or weeks. We then analyze the order size in the opening call auction. Layers of spikes are clearly observed in the histogram plot of order sizes, which may be caused by the number preference phenomenon existing in the order submission. We further apply four types of distribution functions to fit the PDF of normalized order sizes and find that qq-Gamma distribution gives a better fit than the Weibull distribution, qq-exponential distribution and the qq-Weibull distribution. The Hurst exponent of order sizes is larger than 0.5, which indicates the long-term memory also exists in order sizes. Considering the shape of the LOB established immediately after the opening call auction, we find that both the average order size and the average number of orders follow exponential decays with similar exponents.