نگرش مصرف کننده، نقدینگی بازار سهام، و اقتصاد کلان: دیدگاه کانادا
|کد مقاله||سال انتشار||مقاله انگلیسی||ترجمه فارسی||تعداد کلمات|
|43352||2014||24 صفحه PDF||سفارش دهید||18851 کلمه|
Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)
Journal : International Review of Financial Analysis, Volume 33, May 2014, Pages 186–209
This study addresses the impact of equity market liquidity on Canadian economic growth and investigates how consumer attitudes/sentiments affect the dynamic macro-liquidity relationship. Using various market liquidity proxies (e.g., illiquidity ratio and open interest of equity futures) while controlling for a specific set of variables, we obtain the following main results: we document the predictability role of liquidity on future economic growth, and we find that during periods of high exchange-rate volatility between the Canadian and US dollars, growth becomes highly affected by stock-market liquidity movements. Furthermore, there is some evidence that stock market liquidity contains additional information for estimating the future state of the economy but is conditional on periods of higher positive consumer attitudes—specifically, consumer confidence in the economy. Additionally, we find strong evidence consistently supporting the premise that a positive change in general consumer sentiment exhibits a direct and significant effect on some macro-economic variables including personal consumption, consumer credit, and economic growth.