بازیابی بستانکار: وابستگی اقتصاد کلان از تعادل صنعت
|کد مقاله||سال انتشار||مقاله انگلیسی||ترجمه فارسی||تعداد کلمات|
|45627||2015||15 صفحه PDF||سفارش دهید||13768 کلمه|
Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)
Journal : Journal of Financial Stability, Volume 18, June 2015, Pages 172–186
This paper reconciles the state of the economy with industry conditions in driving asset liquidation values and, therefore, recovery rates on defaulted debt securities. Evidence to date downplays the economywide effect in favor of industry and debt characteristic explanations. This paper shows that macroeconomic effects are important but operate differentially at the industry level. Industries whose sales growth is more correlated with GDP growth recover less during recessions. And industries that are more dependent on external finance recover less when the stock market falls. These findings expose how economywide shocks are transmitted to industry downturns, providing a framework for the role of aggregate risk in recovery risk and for macroeconomic stress testing.