دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 46497
عنوان فارسی مقاله

مسیر هایی برای رسیدن به مجموعه ای جامع از اهداف پایداری بلند پروازانه در سال 2050: اکتشافات با استفاده از مدل ارزیابی یکپارچه شده IMAGE

کد مقاله سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی تعداد کلمات
46497 2015 21 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید محاسبه نشده
خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.
عنوان انگلیسی
Pathways to achieve a set of ambitious global sustainability objectives by 2050: Explorations using the IMAGE integrated assessment model
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 98, September 2015, Pages 303–323

کلمات کلیدی
ارزیابی یکپارچه شده - مدلسازی - توسعه پایدار - تغییر جهانی
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله مسیر هایی برای رسیدن به مجموعه ای جامع از اهداف پایداری بلند پروازانه در سال 2050: اکتشافات با استفاده از مدل ارزیابی یکپارچه شده IMAGE

چکیده انگلیسی

In 2012, governments worldwide renewed their commitments to a more sustainable development that would eradicate poverty, halt climate change and conserve ecosystems, and initiated a process to create a long-term vision by formulating Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Although progress in achieving a more sustainable development has been made in some areas, overall, actions have not been able to bend the trend in critical areas (including those related to the so-called food-water-energy nexus). Here, we analyze how different combinations of technological measures and behavioral changes could contribute to achieving a set of sustainability objectives, taking into account the interlinkages between them. The objectives include eradicating hunger, providing universal access to modern energy, preventing dangerous climate change, conserving biodiversity and controlling air pollution. The analysis identifies different pathways that achieve these objectives simultaneously, but they all require substantial transformations in the energy and food systems, that go far beyond historic progress and currently formulated policies. The analysis also shows synergies and trade-offs between achieving the different objectives, concluding that achieving them requires a comprehensive approach. The scenario analysis does not point at a fundamental trade-off between the objectives related to poverty eradication and those related to environmental sustainability. The different pathways of achieving the set of long-term objectives and their implications for short-term action can contribute to building a comprehensive strategy to meet the SDGs by proposing near-term actions.

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