دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 46566
عنوان فارسی مقاله

احتمال دستیابی به اهداف کمی ایمنی جاده : یک مدل رگرسیون لجستیک دودویی برای عوامل احتمالی

کد مقاله سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی تعداد کلمات
46566 2014 10 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید محاسبه نشده
خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.
عنوان انگلیسی
The likelihood of achieving quantified road safety targets: A binary logistic regression model for possible factors
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Accident Analysis & Prevention, Volume 73, December 2014, Pages 242–251

کلمات کلیدی
هدف ایمنی جاده - مرگ و میر جاده - رگرسیون لجستیک دودویی - میزان جاه طلبی - اثر تعاملی
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله احتمال دستیابی به اهداف کمی ایمنی جاده : یک مدل رگرسیون لجستیک دودویی برای عوامل احتمالی

چکیده انگلیسی

In past several decades, many countries have set quantified road safety targets to motivate transport authorities to develop systematic road safety strategies and measures and facilitate the achievement of continuous road safety improvement. Studies have been conducted to evaluate the association between the setting of quantified road safety targets and road fatality reduction, in both the short and long run, by comparing road fatalities before and after the implementation of a quantified road safety target. However, not much work has been done to evaluate whether the quantified road safety targets are actually achieved. In this study, we used a binary logistic regression model to examine the factors – including vehicle ownership, fatality rate, and national income, in addition to level of ambition and duration of target – that contribute to a target’s success. We analyzed 55 quantified road safety targets set by 29 countries from 1981 to 2009, and the results indicate that targets that are in progress and with lower level of ambitions had a higher likelihood of eventually being achieved. Moreover, possible interaction effects on the association between level of ambition and the likelihood of success are also revealed.

خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.