دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 47066
عنوان فارسی مقاله

مدیریت منابع پویا در خطر تغییرات حکومتی

کد مقاله سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی تعداد کلمات
47066 2014 19 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید 14430 کلمه
خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.
عنوان انگلیسی
Dynamic resource management under the risk of regime shifts
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Volume 68, Issue 1, July 2014, Pages 1–19

کلمات کلیدی
تغییرات حکومت - تردید - برگشت ناپذیری - مدیریت بهینه - بازی های پویا
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله مدیریت منابع پویا در خطر تغییرات حکومتی

چکیده انگلیسی

This paper provides a framework through which a dynamic resource management problem with potential regime shifts can be analyzed both in a strategic environment and from a social planner׳s perspective. Based on a fairly general model, a condition for a precautionary policy is discussed. By applying the framework to a common-property resource problem with a linear production technology, we illustrate how the qualitative as well as quantitative nature of equilibrium is altered due to the possibility of regime shifts. In particular, when the risk is endogenously affected by the players׳ behavior, potential regime shifts can facilitate the precautionary management of resources as long as the resource stock is in good shape. As the stock of resource becomes scarce, however, the precautionary effect vanishes and more aggressive resource exploitation emerges. The impacts of irreversibility on the equilibrium behavior are highlighted. It is also shown that there can exist a resource-depletion trap in which a regime shift, once it happens, triggers a continuous decline of resource stock no matter which regime materializes in the subsequent periods.

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