دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 51002
عنوان فارسی مقاله

تاثیر و پس نگری مشارکتی اسپین آف: از چشم انداز تا تورفتگی

کد مقاله سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی تعداد کلمات
51002 2011 15 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید محاسبه نشده
خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.
عنوان انگلیسی
The impact and spin-off of participatory backcasting: From vision to niche
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 78, Issue 5, June 2011, Pages 883–897

کلمات کلیدی
پس نگری مشارکتی - سهامداران - یادگیری - چشم انداز آینده - نوآوری سیستم - انتقال تکنیکی اجتماعی - پیش بینی پایداری
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله تاثیر و پس نگری مشارکتی اسپین آف: از چشم انداز تا تورفتگی

چکیده انگلیسی

This paper reports on a study that has systematically investigated the follow-up and spin-off of participatory backcasting experiments in the Netherlands five to ten years after completion. A methodological framework for participatory backcasting is presented, after which a conceptual framework is developed to describe and evaluate the impact of backcasting experiments. Three cases are analysed: (1) Novel Protein Foods and meat alternatives; (2) Sustainable Household Nutrition; and (3) Multiple Sustainable Land-use in rural areas. The cases show that participatory backcasting can lead to substantial follow-up and spin-off, but that is not always the case. Substantial follow-up and spin-off after five to ten years is predominantly found at the level of niches, and can be seen as potential seeds for future system innovations. The emergence of follow-up and spin-off comes along with the diffusion of the visions generated in the backcasting experiment. The visions provide orientation (where to go) and guidance (what to do). Visions also show both stability and flexibility. Factors that influence the extent of impact and spin-off of backcasting are identified, with a focus on stakeholders, learning and visions. Finally, relevance for system innovation theory, governance and policy as well as research recommendations are briefly discussed.

خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.