دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 76812
عنوان فارسی مقاله

آینده نگری استراتژیک در سازمان شرکت های بزرگ:اثر انتقال مواد و عدم اطمینان پاسخ تکنولوژی و اجتماعی متاثر از تغییر

کد مقاله سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی تعداد کلمات
76812 2010 13 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید محاسبه نشده
خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.
عنوان انگلیسی
Strategic foresight in corporate organizations: Handling the effect and response uncertainty of technology and social drivers of change
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 77, Issue 9, November 2010, Pages 1527–1539

کلمات کلیدی
آینده نگری؛ تدوین استراتژی؛ عدم قطعیت؛ میکرو کسب و کار و کلان محیط زیست؛ فن آوری های نوظهور؛ بازار و غیر بازار متاثر از تغییر
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله آینده نگری استراتژیک در سازمان شرکت های بزرگ:اثر انتقال مواد و عدم اطمینان پاسخ تکنولوژی و اجتماعی متاثر از تغییر

چکیده انگلیسی

Today many companies in many industries put a lot of efforts into monitoring and investigating emerging drivers of change in their business environment, particularly in relation to new technologies and events in the social, economic, political and ecological landscapes which surround their industry. So far scholars in the literature on foresight and future studies focused on the techniques and practices for analysing the “state” uncertainty about the likely path of evolution of emerging drivers of change. Anyway, less attention was devoted to the “effect” uncertainty about the impact of drivers of change on the competitive position of the firm and to the “response” uncertainty about how to take advantage of these drivers. These are the main issues we take into account, through a field research on firms that, notwithstanding they were able to properly assess the likely evolution (state uncertainty) of relevant drivers of change in their industry, either were successful or dramatically failed in handling the effect and response uncertainty of these drivers. Moreover, we carried out multiple case studies of some large companies that have established an organizational unit dedicated to strategic foresight. Overall, the results of our research may contribute to improve the effectiveness of strategic foresight and to increase its value added to the planning process of corporate firms, while providing helpful insight to public organizations that promote foresight exercises for enhancing the competitiveness of local firms.

خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.