|کد مقاله||سال انتشار||مقاله انگلیسی||ترجمه فارسی||تعداد کلمات|
|86698||2017||16 صفحه PDF||سفارش دهید||8529 کلمه|
Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)
Journal : She Ji: The Journal of Design, Economics, and Innovation, Volume 3, Issue 4, Winter 2017, Pages 303-318
Projecting analytical concepts is a difficult, though established process in innovation management. Designers face methodological obstacles, however, when engaging with a future system with rapidly changing factors. First, the systemâs users do not yet exist. Second, continuing changes in key factors and their interactions make conceiving of relationships and delivering synthesizable data impossible. The rational core for making projections suffers from a lack of substantiation. Both morphological analysis and the Delphi method are established tools in strategic foresight. We suggest that a morphology-based Delphi method supports the process of projecting future outcomes in innovative, complex projects. In addition, each tool compensates for the otherâs theoretical and functional deficits by illustrating transparent, value-based arguments in a modifiable, iterative manner.