دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 93704
کد مقاله سال انتشار مقاله انگلیسی ترجمه فارسی تعداد کلمات
93704 2018 53 صفحه PDF سفارش دهید 11527 کلمه
خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.
عنوان انگلیسی
The Eurozone (Expected) Inflation: An Option's Eyes View
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Journal of International Money and Finance, Available online 3 April 2018

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پیش نمایش مقاله

چکیده انگلیسی

We estimate inflation risk-neutral densities (RNDs) in the euro area, using inflation swaps and caps/floors options, and introduce a parsimonious approach to jointly estimate the RNDs across horizons. Thus, we obtain daily implicit RNDs for forward measures, such as the 5-year-on-5-year inflation rate, which, although not directly traded in the market, is a key reference for monetary policy. Then, we discuss several indicators derived from the information content of those historical RNDs that are relevant for policy makers, and compare them in light of the ECB's decisions and communication since 2009. Specifically, we study the evolution of tail risks (associated with deflation and high inflation), the balance of inflation risks, risk aversion, and how forward inflation rates react to the ECB's non-conventional monetary policies (Longer Term Refinancing Operations, LTRO; Securities Market Programme, SMP; Asset Purchase Programme, APP; and its variants and extensions).

خرید مقاله
پس از پرداخت، فوراً می توانید مقاله را دانلود فرمایید.