دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 93842
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

اثرات نامتقارن تغییرات نرخ ارز بر تجارت ترکیه دو جانبه

عنوان انگلیسی
Asymmetric effects of exchange rate changes on Turkish bilateral trade balances
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
93842 2017 31 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Economic Systems, Volume 41, Issue 2, June 2017, Pages 279-296

پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  اثرات نامتقارن تغییرات نرخ ارز بر تجارت ترکیه دو جانبه

چکیده انگلیسی

Previous studies that have assessed the short-run and the long-run effects of exchange rate changes on Turkey’s trade balance with its major partners relied upon a linear adjustment process that could not find much support for favorable effects of exchange rate changes. In this paper, once we separate real appreciations from real depreciations via the partial sum concept and introduce nonlinearity into the estimation and testing procedure, we show that the effects of exchange rate changes are asymmetric. More precisely, while lira appreciation does not have any significant effects on Turkey’s bilateral trade balances, lira depreciation has significantly favorable effects on Turkey’s trade balance with its European partners (France, Germany, Italy, Portugal, and Great Britain).