دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 100761
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

بحران مالی و بی ثباتی ناشی از انفجار: اکتشاف در بازار مشتقات کالاهای هند

عنوان انگلیسی
Financial contagion and volatility spillover: An exploration into Indian commodity derivative market
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
100761 2017 13 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Economic Modelling, Volume 67, December 2017, Pages 368-380

پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  بحران مالی و بی ثباتی ناشی از انفجار: اکتشاف در بازار مشتقات کالاهای هند

چکیده انگلیسی

This study measures the extent of financial contagion in the Indian asset markets. In specific it shows the contagion in Indian commodity derivative market vis-à-vis bond, foreign exchange, gold, and stock markets. Subsequently, directional volatility spillover among these asset markets, have been examined. Applying DCC-MGARCH method on daily return of commodity future price index and other asset markets for the period 2006–16, time varying correlation between commodity and other assets are estimated. The degree of financial contagion in commodity derivative market is found to be the largest with stock market and least with the gold market. A generalized VAR based volatility spillover estimation shows that commodity and stock markets are net transmitters of volatility while bond, foreign exchange and gold markets are the net receivers of volatility. Volatility is transmitted to commodity market only from the stock market. Such volatility spillover is found to have time varying nature, showing higher volatility spillover during the Global Financial Crisis and during the period of large rupee depreciation in 2013–14. These results have significant implication for optimal portfolio choice.