مدل تصمیم گیری توزیع شده برای مدیریت ریسک شرکت های مجازی
|کد مقاله||سال انتشار||مقاله انگلیسی||ترجمه فارسی||تعداد کلمات|
|763||2011||8 صفحه PDF||سفارش دهید||محاسبه نشده|
Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)
Journal : Expert Systems with Applications, Volume 38, Issue 10, 15 September 2011, Pages 13208–13215
Risk management in a Virtual Enterprise (VE) is an important issue due to its agility and diversity of its members and its distributed characteristics. In this paper, we develop a risk management model for the VE. More specifically, we introduce a Distributed Decision Making (DDM) model for risk management of the VE. The model has two levels, namely, the top model and the base model, which describe the decision processes of the owner and the partners of the VE, respectively. It can be regarded as a combination of both the top–down and bottom–up approaches for risk management of the VE. Here we focus on the case of symmetry information between the owner and the partners. A Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm is then designed to solve the resulting optimization problem. The result shows that the proposed algorithm is effective and the two-level model can help improve the description of the relationship between the owner and the partners, which is helpful to reduce the risk of the VE.
A Virtual Enterprise (VE) is a temporary organization which is created when there is a business opportunity and is dissolved when the business opportunity no longer exists. The VE is designed for multiple purposes, such as enhancing competitiveness, optimizing resource utilization and allocation, expanding scale of the business and taking advantages of the complementary capabilities of the business partners. However, in the paradigm of the VE, there are various sources of risks that may threaten the security of the VE, such as market risk, credit risk, operational risk, liquidity risk and others (Kliem and Ludin, 1997 and Wang et al., 2001). Risk measurement and management of a VE have received considerable interest among researchers and managers of enterprises. Various models and algorithms are developed to provide a more scientific and effective way for managing the risk of a VE. He (1995) proposes a risk assessment method which combines the risk probability analysis with the risk impact assessment. The method incorporates various sources of risks attributed to overseas construction projects. Das and Teng (1998) suggest two basic types of risk in strategic alliances: relational risk and performance risk. The alliance making process is examined in terms of the interactive effects of resource and risk on the orientations and objectives of the prospective alliance partners. This type of alliance is similar to the VE. Grabowski and Roberts (1999) identify four processes which are important to risk mitigation in virtual organizations. These processes are organizational structure and design, communication, culture and trust. They then suggest how these processes may enhance the reliability of the virtual organizations and discuss how thoughtful management of those attributes can mitigate the risk. Ip, Huang, Yung, and Wang (2003) consider minimizing the risk in selecting partners and ensuring the due date of a project in a VE. They propose a risk-based partner selection model. By exploring the characteristics of the problem considered and the knowledge of project scheduling, a Rule-based Genetic Algorithm (R-GA) with embedded project scheduling is developed to solve the problem. Karjalainen, Haahtela, Malinen, and Salminen (2004) use a case study approach to explore the implementation of profit-and risk-sharing mechanisms in a VE. Lack of a shared vision may have been the most important cause for the early decomposition of the VE. Therefore, the trust did not start to accumulate during the cooperation. This would have been imperative for the implementation of profit sharing mechanisms, because risk attitudes seemed to favor hierarchical rewarding mechanisms. Huang, Ip, Yang, Wang, and Lau (2008) focus on two main features of the VE, project mode and uncertain factors. They establish the fuzzy synthetic evaluation embedded nonlinear integer programming model of risk programming for the VE and present a tabu search algorithm with an embedded fuzzy synthetic evaluation for the model. Wei, Lu, and Yanchun (2008) introduce the theory of Fuzzy Cognitive Time Maps (FCTMs) into modeling and evaluating trust relationships and show how relevant is the inter-organizational trust based on trust sources and their credibility. They also propose a methodology by taking dynamic nature of trust into account to analyze the evolution of trust in the VEs setting. The established cognitive map illustrates the changes of different factors and their effects on the final trusts. Much of the existing literature focus on identifying risk, providing risk evaluation method and developing risk management models. Many models proposed in the literature only discuss the risk management issues in a centralized structure and ignore the diversity of the members and the distribution characteristics of the VE. Here, we articulate this problem by introducing a two-level DDM model for the VE based on the DDM theory (Schneeweiss, 2003a, Schneeweiss, 2003b and Schneeweiss, 2003c). Our goal is to keep the risk taken by the VE at a reasonably low level by minimizing the aggregate risk level of the VE. We design a Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to solve the resulting optimization problem (Kennedy and Eberhart, 1995 and Qi et al., 2008). We also demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm by some numerical examples. The rest of this paper is structured as follows. In Section 2, we describe the DDM theory and the two-level risk management model for the VE. The PSO is then presented in Section 3. Numerical examples are presented in Section 4. Concluding remarks are given in the final section.
نتیجه گیری انگلیسی
We presented a DDM model for the risk management of VE. A two-level model was introduced to describe the decision processes of the owner and the partners. The situation is that the owner allocates the budget to each member of the VE so as to minimize the risk level of the VE. The case of symmetry information between the owner and the partners was considered. A PSO algorithm was designed to solve this problem and this method was shown to be reliable and efficient.