دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 51505
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

جریان سرمایه بین المللی، بازده و یکپارچگی مالی جهان

عنوان انگلیسی
International capital flows, returns and world financial integration
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
51505 2014 20 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Journal of International Economics, Volume 92, Issue 1, January 2014, Pages 14–33

ترجمه کلمات کلیدی
جهانی شدن؛ انتخاب پرتفوی؛ یکپارچگی مالی؛ بازارهای ناقص؛ قیمت دارایی ها
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی
Globalization; Portfolio choice; Financial integration; Incomplete markets; Asset pricesD52; F36; G11
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پیش نمایش مقاله  جریان سرمایه بین المللی، بازده و یکپارچگی مالی جهان

چکیده انگلیسی

International capital flows have increased dramatically since the 1980s, with much of the increase being due to trade in equity and bond markets. Such developments are often attributed to the increased integration of world financial markets. We present a model that allows us to examine how greater integration in world financial markets affects the behavior of international capital flows and financial returns. Our model predicts that international capital flows are large (in absolute value) and very volatile during the early stages of financial integration when international asset trading is concentrated in bonds. As integration progresses and households gain access to world equity markets, the size and volatility of international bond flows decline. This is the natural outcome of greater risk sharing facilitated by increased integration. This pattern is consistent with declining volatility observed during 1975–2007 period in the G-7 countries. We also find that the equilibrium flows in bonds and stocks predicted by the model are larger than their empirical counterparts, and are largely driven by variations in equity risk premia. The model also predicts that volatility of equity and bond returns decline with integration, again consistent with the data for G-7 economies.