دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 141936
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

سازگاری نیروگاه های حرارتی: ارتباط (اطلاعات) اطلاعات مربوط به آب و هوا (تغییر)

عنوان انگلیسی
Adaptation of thermal power plants: The (ir)relevance of climate (change) information
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
141936 2017 38 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Energy Economics, Volume 62, February 2017, Pages 1-18

پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  سازگاری نیروگاه های حرارتی: ارتباط (اطلاعات) اطلاعات مربوط به آب و هوا (تغییر)

چکیده انگلیسی

When does climate change information lead to adaptation? We analyze thermal power plant adaptation by means of investing in water-saving (cooling) technology to prevent a decrease in plant efficiency and load reduction. A comprehensive power plant investment model, forced with downscaled climate and hydrological projections, is then numerically solved to analyze the adaptation decisions of a selection of real power plants. We find that operators that base their decisions on current climatic conditions are likely to make identical choices and perform just as well as operators that are fully ‘informed’ about climate change. Where electricity supply is mainly generated by thermal power plants, heat waves, droughts and low river flow may impact electricity supply for decades to come.