کار با عدم اطمینان در کالیبراسیون دقیق مدل های شبیه سازی ترافیک برای ارزیابی ایمنی

The proposed method successfully identified the role played by all parameters and by the model stochasticity on different safety outputs. The final model calibration, carried out by explicitly considering the presence of uncertainty at different levels, confirmed the potential of advanced microscopic traffic models to adequately replicate detailed traffic and safety measurements, shedding light on different aspects of the interaction between road safety and traffic dynamics.