توسعه و ارزیابی سناریوهای سیاست انرژی تجدید پذیر تا سال 2030 برای بلغارستان

This paper aims to identify the most feasible level of ambition up to year 2030 for the Bulgarian renewable energy policy taking into consideration the national framework. Two research tools are used for this purpose, the modeling tool LEAP and the multi-criteria evaluation method AMS. LEAP simulates three developed scenarios aiming to different RES targets for 2030 supported by different policy mixtures. LEAP outcomes and official information are used as inputs to AMS. The AMS outputs allow the identification of the most appropriate scenario for the country. Conclusions concern under which conditions each policy mixture is feasible along with discussion on policy recommendations for its improvement.