دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 24559
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

.اتصالات یک خط رگرسیون چندگانه به پیش بینی تقاضای سفر: مورد از ریاست Xanthi، شمال یونان

عنوان انگلیسی
Fitting a multiple regression line to travel demand forecasting: The case of the prefecture of Xanthi, Northern Greece *
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
24559 2005 20 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Mathematical and Computer Modelling, Volume 42, Issues 7–8, October 2005, Pages 817–836

ترجمه کلمات کلیدی
پیش بینی - تقاضا برای سفر - رگرسیون خطی چندگانه - تراکیه - یونان -
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی
Forecasting, Travel demand, Multiple linear regression, Thrace, Greece,
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  .اتصالات یک خط رگرسیون چندگانه به پیش بینی تقاضای سفر: مورد از ریاست Xanthi، شمال یونان

چکیده انگلیسی

In the last decades, there has been substantial development in modeling techniques of travel demand estimation. Most of the techniques concerning the construction and the calibration of these models, where developed in industrialized countries of the world. In Greece, the construction and calibration of intercity travel demand follow mostly either the extrapolation of historical data, such as growth rates, or the recalibration of models initially formulated and estimated for scenarios in industrialized countries. The aim of this paper is to identify and estimate the main variables, which affect the travel demand, and to develop models to predict it. The study is focused in the intercity passenger transportation concerning the prefecture of Xanthi in Northern Greece. The models that have been developed and calibrated are aggregate and they are based on multiple linear regression analysis. The final demand models have statistics within the acceptable regions and, also, they are conceptually reasonable.