دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 48763
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

چه زمانی برای هماهنگی رژیم تجارت آزاد شکست خورد؟

عنوان انگلیسی
When does coordination for free trade regimes fail? ☆
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
48763 2013 6 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Economic Modelling, Volume 31, March 2013, Pages 31–36

ترجمه کلمات کلیدی
جنگ تجاری از سر ترس - خطر غالب تعادل - بازی های جهانی در سیاست های تجاری - مکمل های استراتژیک - استراتژی های مقابله به مثل تجارت
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی
F13; F42; F51Trade war out of fear; Risk-dominant equilibrium; Global game in trade policies; Strategic complementarity; Trade retaliation strategies
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  چه زمانی برای هماهنگی رژیم تجارت آزاد شکست خورد؟

چکیده انگلیسی

This paper examines why the recent efforts to arrange free trade regimes have failed repeatedly focusing on the increased uncertainties in economic fundamentals and the asymmetric political economic characteristics of trading countries reflected in the hawkish trade retaliatory tendencies. We demonstrate that, under informational barriers due to economic uncertainties, a slight negative change in economic fundamentals as well as the signals about the economic fundamentals can lead to the collapse of free trade regimes. Moreover, the fear of a trading partner's deviation to protectionist policies might trigger preemptive protectionist measures resulting in a trade war when trade policies show strategic complementarity. However, a free trade regime is more likely to be sustained when it is commonly known that each country has strong symmetric retaliatory tendencies in case trade friction occurs. Nonetheless, if the asymmetry in retaliatory tendencies of trading countries increases the preemptive incentive, a free trade regime is more likely to collapse to a trade war.