دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 132536
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

چگونه اعتقادات در مورد مهارت بر تصمیمات ریسک تاثیر می گذارد؟

عنوان انگلیسی
How do beliefs about skill affect risky decisions?
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
132536 2018 22 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Available online 1 February 2018

پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  چگونه اعتقادات در مورد مهارت بر تصمیمات ریسک تاثیر می گذارد؟

چکیده انگلیسی

Beliefs about relative skill matter for risky decisions such as market entry, career choices, and financial investments. Yet in most laboratory experiments risk is exogenously given and beliefs about relative skill play no role. We use a laboratory experiment without strategy confounds to isolate the impact of beliefs about relative skill on risky choices. We find that low (high) skill individuals are more (less) willing to take risks on gambles where the probabilities depend on relative skill than on gambles with exogenously given probabilities. This happens because low (high) skill individuals overestimate (underestimate) their relative skill. Consequently, the wrong people may engage in risky activities where performance is based on relative skill while the right people may be crowded out.