نقش پیش بینی در اجتناب از شکست سیستماتیک مدیریت ریسک فاجعه طبیعی

The results reveal that there are significant conceptual similarities and differences in these two fields of studies. These differences, in some cases, create a simplistic point of view to ‘Foresight’ in planning for disaster prevention. Thus, limited Foresight methods have been used in disaster management so far. To avoid this problem, the conceptual relationships among the Foresight and disaster management are outlined. The position of Foresight in the improvement of disaster management cycle has been identified as well. Disaster management tools are proposed to promote the application of Foresight in disaster management.