دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 76674
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

آینده نگری تنظیم مقررات: روش ها و برنامه های انتخاب شده

عنوان انگلیسی
Regulatory foresight: Methodologies and selected applications
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
76674 2008 21 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Volume 75, Issue 4, May 2008, Pages 496–516

ترجمه کلمات کلیدی
آینده نگری؛ مقررات؛ استاندارد؛ شاخص ها؛ بررسی دلفی
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی
Foresight; Regulation; Standards; Indicators; Delphi Survey
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  آینده نگری تنظیم مقررات: روش ها و برنامه های انتخاب شده

چکیده انگلیسی

This paper on regulatory foresight addresses approaches which allow future fields for regulatory action to be identified. We follow a rather wide perception of regulation and include standards and standardisation as elements of the regulatory framework. The paper presents three methodologies appropriate for performing regulatory foresight. First, an approach is presented which makes use of science and technology indicators and enables the identification of possible fields which may cause challenges for the regulatory framework and the regulatory bodies. Second, survey approaches are displayed which enable regulatory bodies to identify future needs for regulations. Finally, the usability of the Delphi methodology is discussed and results of a Delphi survey in the telecommunication area are presented. The paper concludes with a comparative analysis of the three methodological approaches regarding their effectiveness to conduct regulatory foresight.