اندازه گیری عدم قطعیت در تجزیه و تحلیل پویایی ساختاری با استفاده از فرآیندهای گاوسی دو سطح و استنتاج بیزی

A probabilistic framework for efficient uncertainty quantification in structural dynamic analysis is presented. This framework is built upon the combination of two-level Gaussian processes emulator and Bayesian inference technique. The underlying idea is to employ the two-level Gaussian processes emulator to integrate together small amount of high-fidelity data from full-scale finite element analysis and large amount of low-fidelity data from order-reduced analysis to improve the response variation prediction. As component mode synthesis (CMS) is adopted in order-reduced modeling, we then utilize the improved response variation prediction on modal characteristics to update the CMS model to facilitate the efficient probabilistic analysis of any responses of concern. The effectiveness of this framework is demonstrated through systematic case studies.