کنترل انرژی اتوبوس هیبریدی پلاگین بر اساس مدل پیش بینی کننده مدل تصادفی

Energy management strategy is vital for a plug-in hybrid electric vehicle and in this paper, a strategy based on stochastic model predictive control is proposed. Firstly, Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation is used to predict velocity sequences in the 10-second horizon followed by post-processing like average filtering, quadratic fitting, etc. which is meant to moderate fluctuations of the results. The RMSE is controlled around 2.4357 Km/h. Moreover, dynamic programming is adopted to construct a benchmark strategy and also to act as the rolling optimization part of SMPC-based strategy. The results show that the fuel economy of the strategy based on SMPC is around 13 percent worse than that on DP. However, with 14.7 L/100 km as fuel consumption, it is still within reasonable ranges.