دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 109306
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

چه سرعت بهبودی از بحران های بانکی را توضیح می دهد؟

عنوان انگلیسی
What explains the speed of recovery from banking crises?
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
109306 2017 69 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Journal of International Money and Finance, Volume 70, February 2017, Pages 257-287

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پیش نمایش مقاله  چه سرعت بهبودی از بحران های بانکی را توضیح می دهد؟

چکیده انگلیسی

While a large body of research has explored the causes and effects of banking crises, less is known about what determines recovery from banking crises, despite large variations in post-crisis performances across countries. In order to identify local and global factors that determine the length of recovery (i.e. the time it takes until countries reach their pre-crisis level of per capita GDP), this exploratory paper employs event–history analysis on 138 incidents of banking crises between 1970 and 2012. Regarding domestic factors, the simultaneous occurrence of currency crises, large financial sectors, overvalued currencies and large primary deficits are associated with later recovery, whereas higher debt-to-GDP ratios or inflation levels do not exhibit a negative effect on post-crisis performances. Regarding external factors, a low growth of world trade as well as indicators of uncertainty in financial markets are correlated with later recovery. Global interest rate shocks are particularly harmful for the speed of recovery among middle-income countries with a strong reliance on external capital. The results are similar when using the length of recessions as an alternative indicator of post-crisis performances.