رابطه بین مصرف انرژی و رشد اقتصادی: مطالعه تجربی بر اساس داده ها در استان هبی 1980-2008

This paper uses the methods of co-integration analysis and Granger Causality test, analyses the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth of Hebei Province from 1980 to 2008. The empirical results show that there is a stable causal relation between TEC and GDP in the long run. Hebei's economic growth contributes to energy consumption growth. To change economic development mode and save energy, reduction of pollutant emission will not only impact the economic growth, but also achieve energy-saving, emission reduction and sustainable development.

Today

The energy consumption and economic growth in Hebei province is raising steadily from 1980 to 2008, the volatility of energy consumption elasticity coefficient is great without obvious variation tendency, and the energy consumption growth is very unstable. Energy consumption strength is declining year by year, but still above the national level. Co-integration analysis shows that there exists co-integration relationship between energy consumption and GDP in Hebei province. In the long-term, GDP has increased additional 0.665076 billion yuan, TEC will increase ten thousand tons coal equivalent. The relationship between energy consumption and GDP growth in Hebei is one-way causality, so economic growth is the Granger causes of energy consumption, but the reverse causality is not established. Research results show that the economic growth is the main influence factor of energy consumption in Hebei province, the transformation of economic development mode not only won't affect economic growth of Hebei province, but also helps to reduce energy consumption, implement the policy of energy saving and emission reduction.