احتمال ریزش برای فرآیندهای نقطه

Point processes are widely used in finance and economics to model the timing of defaults, market transactions, unemployment spells, births, and a range of other events. We develop and analyze likelihood estimators for the parameters of a marked point process and incompletely observed explanatory factors that influence the arrival intensity and mark distribution. We establish an approximation to the likelihood and analyze the convergence and large-sample properties of the associated estimators. Numerical results illustrate the behavior of our estimators.