مطالعات مقدماتی در مورد تاثیرات سیاست بر روی حیاتی اقتصادی طرح جذب و ذخیره کربن در صنعت فولاد ژاپن

This paper explores policy mix effects on economic viability of CCS project in Japanese integrated steel plant. We conducted a Monte Carlo simulation under uncertainties of firm's capacity factor (pre-tax profit) and carbon price. The results indicate that tax credit (35 US$/tCO2) improve economic viability of CCS in the case of favorable business conditions. Subsidies for CCS costs improve economic viability of CCS even in the case of recessions; however, the subsidy effect is sensitive to carbon price. Tax credit could be one of key policy measures as a part of policy mix both for Japanese economy and CO2 mitigation.