دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 101416
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

آیا همبستگی تورم و قیمت سهام در ایالات متحده طی دو قرن گذشته تغییر کرده است؟

عنوان انگلیسی
Has the correlation of inflation and stock prices changed in the United States over the last two centuries?
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
101416 2017 21 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Research in International Business and Finance, Volume 42, December 2017, Pages 1-8

پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  آیا همبستگی تورم و قیمت سهام در ایالات متحده طی دو قرن گذشته تغییر کرده است؟

چکیده انگلیسی

The relationship between stock prices and the inflation can be either negative or positive, depending on the strengths of various theoretical channels at work. In this study, we examine the dynamic conditional correlations of stock prices and inflation in the United States over the period of 1791–2015 under a time-varying framework. The results of our empirical analysis reveal that correlations between the inflation and stock prices in the United States evolve heterogeneously overtime. In particular, the correlations are significantly positive in the 1840s, 1860s, 1930s and 2011, and significantly negative otherwise. The policy implications of these findings are then discussed.