دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 101436
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

روند گوگل و ورود گردشگران: بی نظمی های جدید و اصلاحات پیشنهادی

عنوان انگلیسی
Google Trends and tourists' arrivals: Emerging biases and proposed corrections
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
101436 2018 13 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Tourism Management, Volume 66, June 2018, Pages 108-120

پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  روند گوگل و ورود گردشگران: بی نظمی های جدید و اصلاحات پیشنهادی

چکیده انگلیسی

As search engines constitute a leading tool in planning vacations, researchers have adopted search engine query data to predict the consumption of tourism products. However, when the prevailing shares of visitors come from countries in different languages and with different dominating search engine platforms, the identification of the aggregate search intensity index to forecast overall international arrivals, becomes challenging since two critical sources of bias are involved. After defining the language bias and the platform bias, this study focuses on a destination with a multilingual set of source markets along with different dominating search engine platforms. We analyze monthly data (2004–2015) for Cyprus with two non-causality testing procedures. We find that the corrected aggregate search engine volume index, adjusted for different search languages and different search platforms, is preferable in forecasting international visitor volumes compared to the non-adjusted index.