دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 108887
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عنوان انگلیسی
What keeps long-term U.S. interest rates so low?
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
108887 2017 11 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Economic Modelling, Volume 60, January 2017, Pages 380-390

پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  چه چیزی باعث می شود نرخ بهره در ایالات متحده بسیار پایین باشد؟

چکیده انگلیسی

U.S. government indebtedness and fiscal deficits increased notably following the Global Financial Crisis. Yet long-term interest rates and U.S. Treasury yields have remained remarkably low. What keeps long-term interest rates so low? This paper relies on a simple model, based on John Maynard Keynes’ view that the central bank's actions are the key drivers of long-term interest rates, to explain the behavior of long-term interest rates in the U.S. The empirical findings confirm that short-term interest rates are the most important determinants of long-term interest rates in the U.S. Contrary to conventional wisdom, higher government indebtedness has a negative effect on long-term interest rates, particularly on a long run basis. However, in the short run, higher government indebtedness has a positive effect on long-term interest rates. These are relevant for contemporary policy debates and macroeconomic theory.