تجزیه و تحلیل سناریو در بخش حمل و نقل جاده ای: تأثیرات سیاست های بهره وری انرژی اخیر

The objective of this study is to evaluate the impacts of energy efficiency policies on Thailand road transport sector. Obviously, the recent energy efficiency policies are implemented on the largest energy consumed sectors, e.g. private passenger car, small pickup truck and motorcycle which almost contributed to half of road transport energy demand. In this work, the considered policies of energy efficiency improvement include the Electric Vehicle (EV) supported measure and the CO2-based motor vehicle taxes which was implemented together with Eco-sticker labeling. The developed scenarios were defined by various successive of those considered energy saving measures and compared to baseline scenario in Business As Usual definition. Moreover, the private vehicle interdependence and regional economic difference which involve on vehicle ownership projection were also included in this study. By applied scenario analysis, the developed model shows that considered energy efficiency measures can help reduce 37.87% of total energy demand from road transport sector in 2036. Moreover, 19.04% addition of energy demand reduction can be achieved if private vehicle interdependence and regional economic difference are considered.