دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 47504
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عنوان انگلیسی
A Dynamic Monetary Conditions Index for the UK
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
47504 2002 25 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Journal of Policy Modeling, Volume 24, Issue 3, June 2002, Pages 257–281

ترجمه کلمات کلیدی
موضع سیاست پولی - شاخص شرایط پولی - شاخص های پیشرو و همزمان - اهداف پولی - قوانین پولی - پیش بینی تورم
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی
E52; E58; E37Monetary policy stance; Monetary conditions indices; Coincident and leading indicators; Monetary targets; Monetary rules; Inflation forecasts
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  شاخص شرایط پولی پویا برای بریتانیا

چکیده انگلیسی

Monetary Conditions Indices (MCIs) are weighted-averages of changes in an interest rate and an exchange rate relative to their values in a base period. A few central banks calculate MCIs for use in monetary policy. Although the Bank of England does not calculate such an index, several international organizations as well as financial corporations construct MCIs for the UK on a regular basis. In this article, we survey those indices and compare their performance. We also suggest an alternative MCI for the UK to be used as a coincident indicator of stance, obtained by estimating and simulating a small-scale macro-econometric model over the period 1984 Q4–1999 Q3. To overcome familiar criticisms of MCIs, our measure innovates upon existing MCIs in several respects. In this sense it may be more informative than those in understanding whether an existing level of interest rates, given the existing level of sterling, makes monetary policy ‘tighter’ or ‘looser’ than in previous periods.