دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 102727
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

بهینه سازی نمونه کارها چندین دوره بر اساس درخت سناریو

عنوان انگلیسی
Credibilistic multi-period portfolio optimization based on scenario tree
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
102727 2018 21 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Volume 492, 15 February 2018, Pages 1302-1316

ترجمه کلمات کلیدی
نمونه کارها چند دوره ای، عدم قطعیت، نظریه اعتبار فازی، درخت سناریو، برنامه نویسی پویا تعاملی،
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی
Multi-period portfolio; Uncertainty; Fuzzy credibility theory; Scenario tree; Interactive dynamic programming;
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  بهینه سازی نمونه کارها چندین دوره بر اساس درخت سناریو

چکیده انگلیسی

In this paper, we consider a multi-period fuzzy portfolio optimization model with considering transaction costs and the possibility of risk-free investment. We formulate a bi-objective mean-VaR portfolio selection model based on the integration of fuzzy credibility theory and scenario tree in order to dealing with the markets uncertainty. The scenario tree is also a proper method for modeling multi-period portfolio problems since the length and continuity of their horizon. We take the return and risk as well cardinality, threshold, class, and liquidity constraints into consideration for further compliance of the model with reality. Then, an interactive dynamic programming method, which is based on a two-phase fuzzy interactive approach, is employed to solve the proposed model. In order to verify the proposed model, we present an empirical application in NYSE under different circumstances. The results show that the consideration of data uncertainty and other real-world assumptions lead to more practical and efficient solutions.