Spatial wage disparities can result from spatial differences in the skill composition of the workforce, in non-human endowments, and in local interactions. To distinguish between these explanations, we estimate a model of wage determination across local labour markets using a very large panel of French workers. We control for worker characteristics, worker fixed effects, industry fixed effects, and the characteristics of the local labour market. Our findings suggest that individual skills account for a large fraction of existing spatial wage disparities with strong evidence of spatial sorting by skills. Interaction effects are mostly driven by the local density of employment. Not controlling for worker heterogeneity leads to very biased estimates of interaction effects. Endowments only appear to play a small role.
In many countries, spatial disparities are large and
a source of considerable policy concern. In this paper
we propose a new approach to account for spatial wage disparities. We implement it on a large panel of French
workers.
To explain large spatial wage disparities, three broad
sets of explanations can be proposed. First, differences
in wages across areas could directly reflect spatial differences
in the skill composition of the workforce. There
are good reasons to suspect that workers may sort across
employment areas so that the measured and unmeasured
productive abilities of the local labour force vary. For
instance, industries are not evenly distributed across areas
and require different labour mixes so that we expect
a higher mean wage in areas specialised in more skillintensive
industries. Such skills-based explanations essentially
assume that the wage of worker i is given by
wi = Asi , where si denotes individual skills and A,
the productivity of labour, is independent of location.Consequently, the average wage in area a is the product
of average skills, sa, by the productivity of labour:
wa = Asa.2
The second strand of explanations contends that
wage differences across areas are caused by differences
in local non-human endowments (hereafter endowments).
For instance, workers in some areas may
have a higher marginal product than in others because of
geographical features such as a favourable location (like
a port or a bridge on a river), a climate more suited to
economic activity, or some natural resources. Arguably,
local endowments cannot be restricted to natural features
and should also encompass factors of production
such as public or private capital, local institutions, and
technology. More formally, this type of argument implies
that in area a with endowments Ea affecting positively
the productivity of labour, the wage is given by
wa = A(Ea).3
The third family of explanations argues that some interactions
between workers or between firms take place
locally and lead to productivity gains. Interactionsbased
explanations have a wealth of theoretical justifications.
Following Marshall (1890), denser input–output
linkages between buyers and suppliers, better matching
of workers’ skills with firms’ needs in thicker labour
markets, and technological externalities resulting from
more intense direct interactions are frequently mentioned
(see Duranton and Puga, 2004 for a review).4
A key issue is whether these benefits stem from the size
of the overall market (urbanisation economies) or from
geographic concentration at the industry level (localisation
economies). Stated formally, these arguments imply
that the mean wage in area a and industry k is given by wa,k = A(Ia, Ia,k), where Ia and Ia,k are two vectors of
interaction variables to capture urbanisation and localisation
economies.5
We are not aware of any work using individual
data considering these three strands in a unified framework.
This is the main purpose of this paper. In our
specification, we allow skills, endowments, and interactions
to determine local wages. More formally, our
model implies that in equilibrium the wage of worker
i in area a(i) and industry k(i) is given by wi =
A(Ea(i), Ia(i), Ia(i),k(i))si .
A unified framework encompassing skills-, endowments-,
and interactions-based explanations should provide
us with a sense of magnitudes about the importance
of these three types of explanations in determining
wage disparities across areas. These magnitudes are
crucial to inform policy and to guide future theoretical
work. Unfortunately, a unified framework also imposes
formidable data requirements. More specifically, to deal
properly with skills-based explanations we must control
for unobserved worker heterogeneity, which requires a
panel of workers. In our empirical analysis, we use a
large panel of French workers.
We develop a two-stage approach. The first stage
of the regression allows us to assess the importance
of skills-based explanations against those highlighting
true productivity differences across areas (i.e., betweenindustry
interactions and endowments-based explanations).
Formally, we regress individual wages on timevarying
worker characteristics, a worker fixed effect, an
area-year fixed effect, an industry fixed effect, and a
set of variables relating to the local characteristics of
the industry (to capture local interactions within industries).
The area-year fixed effects can be interpreted as
local wage indices after controlling for observed and
unobserved worker characteristics and industry effects.
Our main result is that differences in the skill composition
of the labour force account for 40 to 50% of
aggregate spatial wage disparities. This occurs because
workers sort across locations according to their measured
and unmeasured characteristics: The correlation
between the local mean of worker fixed effects and
de-trended area fixed effects (which are computed controlling
for worker fixed effects) is large at 0.29. This suggests that previous approaches, which typically do
not pay much attention to the sorting of workers across
areas, are likely to suffer from an important omitted
variable problem.
In the second stage of the regression, we use the
area fixed effects estimated in the first stage and regress
them on a set of time dummies, several variables capturing
local interactions between industries, and some
controls for local endowments.We use a variety of panel
data techniques and instrumental variables approaches
to deal with estimation concerns. Our findings point first
at substantial local interactions despite the importance
of sorting. Urbanisation economies (measured by the
density of local employment) play the most important
role. Market access plays a less important part, while
endowments play a weak role. Second, controlling for
sorting halves standard estimates of the intensity of agglomeration
economies. Our favourite estimate for the
elasticity of wages with respect to employment density
is at 3%. Third, after controlling for skills and interactions,
residual spatial wage disparities are smaller than
disparities in mean wages by a factor of around three.
This result is consistent with a major role for skillsbased
explanations, a moderate role for interactions, and
a weak role for endowments.
The rest of the paper is structured as follows. We
first document wage disparities between French employment
areas in the next section. Then, in Section 3
we propose a general model of spatial wage disparities.
In Section 4, this model is estimated on individual data
to assess the importance of skills-based explanations.
In Sections 5 and 6, we discuss the issues relating to
endowments- and interactions-based explanations and
assess their importance. In Section 7, we reproduce our
regressions using aggregate data. Finally some conclusions
are given in Section 8.
investigate
the sources of wage disparities across local labour
markets: skills, endowments and within- and betweenindustry
interactions. This framework unites different
strands of literature that were so far mostly disjoint. It
shows that the research about the ‘estimation of agglomeration
economies’ is closely intertwined with those
dealing with ‘regional disparities’, ‘local labour markets’
and ‘migration’. Empirically, the main novelty of
the paper is to use a very large panel of workers and
a consistent approach to exploit it. This allows us to
assess precisely the effects of unobserved worker heterogeneity.
We find that the effect of individual skills
is quantitatively very important in the data. Up to half
of the spatial wage disparities can be traced back to
differences in the skill composition of the workforce.
Workers with better labour market characteristics tend
to agglomerate in the larger, denser and more skilled local
labour market.We believe more work is now needed
to understand the nature of this sorting.We also pay considerable attention to the issues of
simultaneity. When correcting for possible biases, our
estimates for economies of density, at around 3.0%,are lower than in previous literature. Nonetheless,
economies of density still play an important role in explaining
differences in local wages. We find that the
market potential also matters. The evidence on other
types of local interactions such as those taking place
within particular industries is more mixed. They are
significant but do not matter much quantitatively in explaining
local wages disparities. Our approach also suggests
at best a modest direct role for local non-human
endowments in the determination of local wages.