ارزیابی اثرات تبادل در حمل و نقل عمومی: مطالعه موردی کوئینزلند جنوبی استرالیا

Interchange or transfers for passengers in large multimodal public transport networks are more or less inevitable. In South East Queensland (SEQ), Australia, there is a zone based fare system in place which does not penalize transfers within the same zone but does charge a full fare for an inter-zone transfer in a single journey. This research investigates the interchange effects from an analysis of passengers’ travel patterns using the smart card data from the automated fare collection system in place in SEQ. Latent class nested logit models are estimated with social demographic characteristics to measure transfer behaviour, and are used to investigate the opportunity for better interchange policies to increase the network effect. The results identified passengers' heterogeneous preferences towards travel alternatives with markedly different market segments. The empirical results identified passengers categorised into four segments of employees, students, wealthier people and seniors. The findings suggest that public transport network effects are most important to the employee segment with student and senior segments being more likely to choose direct alternatives over alternatives involving interchange. In order to enhance the public transport network effects, two transfer policies are simulated and all segments show increase of the transfer behaviour but with different alternative shares.