دانلود مقاله ISI انگلیسی شماره 17341
ترجمه فارسی عنوان مقاله

آیا سازمان اوپک از پیمان کیوتو دست کشیده است؟

عنوان انگلیسی
Will OPEC lose from the Kyoto Protocol?
کد مقاله سال انتشار تعداد صفحات مقاله انگلیسی
17341 2004 12 صفحه PDF
منبع

Publisher : Elsevier - Science Direct (الزویر - ساینس دایرکت)

Journal : Energy Policy, Volume 32, Issue 18, December 2004, Pages 2077–2088

ترجمه کلمات کلیدی
پیمان کیوتو - سازمان اوپک - مدل های انرژی ـ اقتصاد -
کلمات کلیدی انگلیسی
Kyoto Protocol, OPEC, Energy-economy models,
پیش نمایش مقاله
پیش نمایش مقاله  آیا سازمان اوپک از پیمان کیوتو دست کشیده است؟

A range of energy-economy models forecast losses to members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) should the Kyoto Protocol come into force. These forecasts are a powerful influence in the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change negotiations. They are used by OPEC to advance the agenda on the impacts of response measures, covertly arguing for compensation for lost oil revenues arising from implementation of the Protocol. This paper discusses this issue, and explores the key assumptions of these models and their uncertainties. Assumptions about carbon leakage, future availability of oil reserves, substitution, innovation, and capital turnover are considered. The paper suggests that losses will not affect OPEC countries equally, and that these losses are not likely to be as substantial as the models forecast. A range of policy measures are proposed to lessen any impact the Protocol may have on OPEC.